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2011 Boslough_Using Prediction Markets to Evaluate Various Global Warmin..

2004 Boslough_Climate Change Ef..

2008 Boslough The Arctic as a T..

2008 Boslough_Global Catastroph..

2009 Boslough_Global situational..

2012 Boslough_Mankind can bet..

Gilbert Plass made a climate prediction in 1955

If you take the data you can envision a series of contracts - 1

Low probability/high consequence events

Neither extreme position has a scientific basis

Risk is dominated by tail risk

Wallace Broecker made a climate prediction in 1975

You have to quantify the uncertainties

Mark Boslough: Using Prediction Markets to Evaluate Various Global Warming Hypotheses
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tTqnN9QeEGs