The comprehensive approach in EU, NATO,UN and other international organisations as well as on the national level is an essential tool for the training of staff, both managers and analysts.

 

It draws upon experiences from high-level management mentoring (see for example Brian Bacon) and  should focus on the capacity to zoom out and see the big picture in order to muster the strength to zoom in to solve a particular problem.

 

Characteristic for this type of process is a forecasting methodology which avoids big  or fixed ideas but rather is open to possible fundamental changes in prevalent assumptions about future trends. Such an approach has been determined to be more successful ( see the book on Superforecasting)  than more rigid  forecasting models.

 

Characteristic is also the need to be able to make agonising reappraisals about  mistakes in the past.

 

 It is vital that the analysis builds on both risks and opportunities. The same situation might often be perceived in very different ways given what posture is chosen.  This is not least important when elaborating the EU global strategy later in 2016.